Characters
Good luck, Ralphie. If your nose starts bleeding, it means you're picking it too much. Or not enough.
— Chief Wiggum · The Simpsons
Behind the line May contain spoilers.
Our reading
An editorial interpretation.
The speaker wishes someone luck, then offers a nosebleed theory that cannot lose: bleeding means too much nose-picking, or else too little. Whatever happens, the explanation covers it. The joke lies in the deadpan, unhelpful advice dressed up as reassurance.
Context reviewed